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trades).","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":4}},{"id":"T5","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Before 3 large market moves, the member's net trading pointed the right way 3 times.","detail":"Hit rate 1.00, Clopper-Pearson 90% [0.37, 1.00]; exact one-sided p = 0.125; magnitude-weighted sign-flip p = 0.126. Episodes: benchmark days beyond three rolling standard deviations with trades in the prior five trading days, plus documented episodes when supplied.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":1,"ci":[0.368403,1],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.125,"p_holm":0.125,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n_episodes":3,"hits":3,"hit_rate":1,"ci":[0.368403,1],"p_exact":0.125,"p_magnitude":0.1263,"episodes":[{"event_date":"2015-08-21","move":-0.030102,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2015-08-24","move":-0.042108,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2024-07-24","move":-0.022662,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":4,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"}]}},{"id":"T6","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Trading arrangement: not documented; trading during absence ran at 0.00 times the normal rate.","detail":"Trading arrangement: not documented; trading during absence ran at 0.00 times the normal rate.","estimate":{"label":"Absence rate ratio","value":0,"ci":[0,137.80487],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"ratio"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"rate_ratio":0,"rate_ratio_ci":[0,137.80487],"rate_ratio_batchdays":0,"rate_ratio_batchdays_ci":[0,167.067635],"absence_days":9,"trades_in_absence":0}},{"id":"T7","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"0 of 46 trades (0.0%) were disclosed late; median lag 20 days. Another 6 were over 45 days from the trade but filed within 30 days of the stated notification date.","detail":"Late share 0.000, Wilson [0.000, 0.056]; 90th percentile lag 60 days; longest 357 days.","estimate":{"label":"Late share","value":0,"ci":[0,0.055549],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":false,"robustness":[{"variant":"Late from the trade date alone, ignoring notification dates","value":0.130435,"reading":"open_question"}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":46,"amendment_rows_excluded":1,"late":0,"late_from_trade":6,"excused_by_notification":6,"late_share":0,"late_ci":[0,0.055549],"median_lag":20,"p90_lag":60.5,"max_lag":357,"filings":25,"late_filings":0,"late_priced":0,"timely_priced":4,"late_priced_dates":0}},{"id":"T8","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 7 directional trades; too few for a committee-overlap reading.","detail":"Only 7 directional trades; too few for a committee-overlap reading.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":7}},{"id":"T9","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"0 priced trades fell in affected industries in the 30 days before the member's committee events and 4 did not; at least 10 of each are needed to compare them.","detail":"0 priced trades fell in affected industries in the 30 days before the member's committee events and 4 did not; at least 10 of each are needed to compare them.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":0,"n_other":4,"events":2882}},{"id":"T10","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 7 directional trades.","detail":"Only 7 directional trades.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{}},{"id":"T11","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"not_computed","summary":"Requires T4 for every member; computed in the cross-member pass.","detail":"Requires T4 for every member; computed in the cross-member pass.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{}},{"id":"T12","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"None of the member's priced trades was followed within ten trading days by a large abnormal move.","detail":"None of the member's priced trades was followed within ten trading days by a large abnormal move.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":0,"priced":4}},{"id":"T13","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 7 directional trades.","detail":"Only 7 directional trades.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":7}},{"id":"T14","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"not_computed","summary":"Only 7 trades name the account owner; at least 10 are needed.","detail":"Only 7 trades name the account owner; at least 10 are needed.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"owner_unknown":0}},{"id":"T15","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 7 directional trades.","detail":"Only 7 directional trades.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{}},{"id":"T16","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No option trades were reported.","detail":"No option trades were reported.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"option_trades":0,"option_share":0}}],"episodes":[{"title":"Market move on 2015-08-21","event_date":"2015-08-21","direction":"sell","move_pct":-3.01,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2015-08-24","event_date":"2015-08-24","direction":"sell","move_pct":-4.21,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2024-07-24","event_date":"2024-07-24","direction":"sell","move_pct":-2.27,"trade":"4 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null}]}