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Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":"Materials","late":false,"trade_id":"H20029105-007","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20029105.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2026-01-05","filed":"2026-01-12","ticker":"VSNT","issuer":"VERSANT MEDIA GROUP INC CL A","asset_type":"other","direction":"exchange","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":"Communication Services","late":false,"trade_id":"H20033744-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20033744.pdf","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":null},{"date":"2026-02-10","filed":"2026-02-23","ticker":"WAT","issuer":"Waters Corporation Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"exchange","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":"Health Care","late":false,"trade_id":"H20034035-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034035.pdf","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":null},{"date":"2026-04-21","filed":"2026-04-28","ticker":"PTA","issuer":"Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20034416-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034416.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.013922},{"date":"2026-04-21","filed":"2026-04-28","ticker":null,"issuer":"MICHIGAN ST HSG DEV AUTH SINGLE FAMILY M","asset_type":"bond","direction":"buy","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20034416-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034416.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2026-05-26","filed":"2026-06-05","ticker":null,"issuer":"FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION POOL MA6054","asset_type":"bond","direction":"buy","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20034702-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034702.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2026-06-29","filed":"2026-07-15","ticker":"HONAV","issuer":"Honeywell Aerospace Inc. - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"exchange","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20034960-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034960.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2026-06-29","filed":"2026-07-15","ticker":"HONAV","issuer":"Honeywell Aerospace Inc. - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"exchange","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20034960-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034960.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2026-07-14","filed":"2026-07-22","ticker":null,"issuer":"FHLMC 30 YR GOLD RQ0128","asset_type":"bond","direction":"buy","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20035048-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20035048.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null}],"tests":[{"id":"T1","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"48% of 237 trades were in the lowest disclosure band ($1,001-$15,000); trades just before large company-specific moves were not larger than usual.","detail":"Lowest-band share 0.477, 90% Wilson [0.424, 0.530]. Event-linked size gap Delta_z = 0.00 (within-issuer permutation p = 1.000); 0 event-linked trades with z > 3 in bands of $50,001 or more.","estimate":{"label":"Lowest-band share","value":0.476793,"ci":[0.423992,0.530119],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":1,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":237,"lowest_band_share":0.476793,"lowest_band_ci":[0.423992,0.530119],"share_over_50k":0.021097,"max_z":0,"size_gap":0,"size_gap_p":1,"event_linked":13,"event_linked_outliers":0}},{"id":"T2","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"100 different companies; the effective number of equally sized positions is 50 and trading spans 96% of maximum sector diversity.","detail":"Dollar HHI 0.020 (identified set [0.012, 0.057]); trade-count HHI 0.016 vs. 95th percentile 0.008 of 237 random draws from all congressional trades (p = 0.002). Normalized sector entropy 0.96 [0.95, 0.98]. Top three issuers (AAPL, HON, ABBV) carry at least 4% of dollar volume.","estimate":{"label":"Effective number of issuers","value":50.323203,"ci":[17.463193,83.23446],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"count"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":237,"issuers":100,"hhi_mid":0.019872,"hhi_bounds":[0.012014,0.057263],"n_eff":50.323203,"hhi_count":0.015792,"peer_benchmark_p95":0.007712,"peer_benchmark_p":0.002,"sector_entropy":0.957959,"sector_entropy_ci":[0.947119,0.979605],"top3_share_lower":0.042087,"top3":["AAPL","HON","ABBV"],"top3_tied_to_events":true}},{"id":"T3","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"25% of trading days were batches of three or more companies; 0% of trades look routine; 5.5% of trades came within five trading days before a large company-specific move (chance alone: 5.2%).","detail":"Batch-day share 29/115, Wilson [0.19, 0.32]; index of dispersion 2.99 (chi-square p = 0); routine share 0.00 (portfolio-routine or Cohen-Malloy-Pomorski two-year rule). Proximity share 0.055 vs. circular-shift null mean 0.052, p = 0.446.","estimate":{"label":"Batch-day share","value":0.252174,"ci":[0.191786,0.323955],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.446,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.828667,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":237,"trade_days":115,"batch_share_trades":0.489451,"batch_day_share":0.252174,"batch_day_ci":[0.191786,0.323955],"dispersion_index":2.986056,"dispersion_p":0,"routine_share":0,"proximity_share":0.054852,"proximity_null_mean":0.052358,"proximity_null_p95":0.080169,"proximity_p":0.446,"proximity_nonroutine":0.054852,"proximity_routine":0}},{"id":"T4","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Across 183 priced trades, purchases and sales moved 0.50% against the trade's direction relative to the market over the next month on average.","detail":"Mean signed CAR(1,21) = -0.0050; 90% KP interval [-0.0255, 0.0155]; t_BMP = -0.28, r-bar = 0.020, t_KP = -0.13, Patell Z = -0.36, Corrado Z = -0.70. Dollar-weighted identified set [-0.0366, 0.0418]. Calendar-time alpha -2.58%/yr (NW t = -0.21, 1421 days).","estimate":{"label":"Mean signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.005016,"ci":[-0.025484,0.015453],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.582713,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.982752,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Horizon 5 days","reading":"open_question","value":0.004378},{"variant":"Horizon 63 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.002319},{"variant":"Excluding largest batch date","reading":"open_question","value":-0.004104},{"variant":"Self-owned accounts only","reading":"open_question","value":0.001199},{"variant":"Dollar-weighted (bounds)","reading":"open_question","value":0.041825},{"variant":"Calendar-time alpha (annualized)","reading":null,"value":-0.025779}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":183,"theta":-0.005016,"ci":[-0.025484,0.015453],"p":0.550524,"t_kp":-0.127162,"rbar":0.020034,"se_cs":0.005686,"se_kp":0.01238,"t_cs":-0.882121,"t_bmp":-0.276883,"patell_z":-0.364696,"corrado_z":-0.696701,"dollar_weighted_bounds":[-0.03661,0.041825],"calendar_time":{"alpha_daily":-0.000102,"se":0.00049,"days":1421,"t":-0.208838,"p_one_sided":0.582713},"calendar_alpha_ci":[-0.000912,0.000708],"by_horizon":{"5":{"n":183,"theta":0.004378,"ci":[-0.002923,0.011679],"p":0.169446,"t_kp":0.958878,"rbar":0.020034,"se_cs":0.002028,"se_kp":0.004416,"t_cs":2.158693,"t_bmp":2.08787,"patell_z":2.137036,"corrado_z":1.885409},"21":{"n":183,"theta":-0.005016,"ci":[-0.025484,0.015453],"p":0.550524,"t_kp":-0.127162,"rbar":0.020034,"se_cs":0.005686,"se_kp":0.01238,"t_cs":-0.882121,"t_bmp":-0.276883,"patell_z":-0.364696,"corrado_z":-0.696701},"63":{"n":183,"theta":-0.002319,"ci":[-0.041394,0.036757],"p":0.496095,"t_kp":0.009802,"rbar":0.020034,"se_cs":0.010855,"se_kp":0.023635,"t_cs":-0.213611,"t_bmp":0.021343,"patell_z":0.025384,"corrado_z":-0.771614}}}},{"id":"T5","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Before 12 large market moves, the member's net trading pointed the right way 6 times.","detail":"Hit rate 0.50, Clopper-Pearson 90% [0.25, 0.75]; exact one-sided p = 0.613; magnitude-weighted sign-flip p = 0.659. Episodes: benchmark days beyond three rolling standard deviations with trades in the prior five trading days, plus documented episodes when supplied.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0.5,"ci":[0.2453,0.7547],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.612793,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n_episodes":12,"hits":6,"hit_rate":0.5,"ci":[0.2453,0.7547],"p_exact":0.612793,"p_magnitude":0.6587,"episodes":[{"event_date":"2014-02-03","move":-0.022505,"dir":-1,"robust":false,"n_trades":3,"post_news_trades":1,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2015-09-01","move":-0.029848,"dir":1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2016-06-24","move":-0.035909,"dir":1,"robust":true,"n_trades":2,"post_news_trades":1,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2017-08-17","move":-0.015591,"dir":1,"robust":true,"n_trades":2,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2018-02-02","move":-0.02177,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":2,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2018-03-22","move":-0.024997,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2018-03-23","move":-0.021315,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2018-12-04","move":-0.032402,"dir":1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2018-12-26","move":0.050525,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":4,"post_news_trades":1,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2019-01-04","move":0.033496,"dir":1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2022-05-18","move":-0.040312,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2025-04-03","move":-0.049281,"dir":1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"}]}},{"id":"T6","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Trading arrangement: not documented; trading during absence ran at 0.84 times the normal rate.","detail":"Trading arrangement: not documented; trading during absence ran at 0.84 times the normal rate.","estimate":{"label":"Absence rate ratio","value":0.844544,"ci":[0.043141,4.038324],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"ratio"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"rate_ratio":0.844544,"rate_ratio_ci":[0.043141,4.038324],"rate_ratio_batchdays":1.748355,"rate_ratio_batchdays_ci":[0.088919,8.431405],"absence_days":16,"trades_in_absence":1}},{"id":"T7","reading":"open_question","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"14 of 325 trades (4.3%) were disclosed late; median lag 11 days. Another 1 were over 45 days from the trade but filed within 30 days of the stated notification date.","detail":"Late share 0.043, Wilson [0.028, 0.066]; 90th percentile lag 22 days; longest 400 days.","estimate":{"label":"Late share","value":0.043077,"ci":[0.02802,0.065679],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Late from the trade date alone, ignoring notification dates","value":0.046154,"reading":"open_question"}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":325,"amendment_rows_excluded":2,"late":14,"late_from_trade":15,"excused_by_notification":1,"late_share":0.043077,"late_ci":[0.02802,0.065679],"median_lag":11,"p90_lag":21.6,"max_lag":400,"filings":135,"late_filings":2,"late_priced":9,"timely_priced":174,"late_priced_dates":2}},{"id":"T8","reading":"open_question","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"41% of the member's mapped trading by dollar value was in industries their committees oversee, against 28% for a comparable benchmark.","detail":"Committees HSIF, HSII; jurisdiction sectors Automobile Manufacturers, Communication Services, Copper, Energy, Gold, Health Care, Integrated Oil & Gas, Interactive Media & Services, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, Timber REITs, Tobacco, Utilities. Dollar share 0.407 (identified set [0.155, 0.722], bootstrap 0.322-0.511); benchmarks S&P 500 0.281, congressional peers 0.276.","estimate":{"label":"Jurisdiction excess share","value":0.12602,"ci":[0.040704,0.229788],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":188,"in_jurisdiction_trades":76,"share":0.407208,"share_bounds":[0.155038,0.722246],"share_ci":[0.321892,0.510976],"benchmark_sp500":0.281188,"benchmark_peers":0.275844,"excess":0.12602,"excess_ci":[0.040704,0.229788],"committees":["HSIF","HSII"],"jurisdiction_sectors":["Automobile Manufacturers","Communication Services","Copper","Energy","Gold","Health Care","Integrated Oil & Gas","Interactive Media & Services","Oil & Gas Exploration & Production","Timber REITs","Tobacco","Utilities"],"regression_error":"Error evaluating factor: TypeError: 'module' object is not callable\n    y ~ J + C(sector)\n            ^^^^^^^^^","gamma1":null,"gamma1_ci":[null,null],"gamma1_p":null}},{"id":"T9","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"70 trades in industries the member's committees oversee came in the month before a committee or floor action on a bill; they moved -1.52% in the trade's favour, -1.66% relative to the member's other trades.","detail":"theta_9 = -0.0152; pre-event minus other trades = -0.0166 [-0.0369, -0.0015], p = 0.952; mean pre-trade drift psi = -0.0222.","estimate":{"label":"Pre-event minus other trades, signed CAR","value":-0.01657,"ci":[-0.036935,-0.001481],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.952,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.988722,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Window 15 days","reading":"does_not_fit","value":-0.016683},{"variant":"Window 60 days","reading":"does_not_fit","value":-0.017129},{"variant":"Excluding largest batch date","reading":"does_not_fit","value":-0.014412},{"variant":"Placebo: month after events","reading":null,"value":null,"placebo_reading":null}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":70,"n_other":113,"theta9":-0.015248,"diff":-0.01657,"ci":[-0.036935,-0.001481],"p":0.952,"pre_trade_drift":-0.02224,"pre_trade_drift_significant":false,"events":6641,"events_by_kind":{"chamber_passage":2419,"committee_markup":2038,"committee_reported":1738,"became_law":446},"affected_share_of_priced_trades":0.382514,"trade_dates":47,"placebo_reading":null}},{"id":"T10","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"After scrutiny on 2024-09-30, trading ran at 0.21 times its earlier rate.","detail":"After scrutiny on 2024-09-30, trading ran at 0.21 times its earlier rate. Change point 2019-01-03 (p = 0.002).","estimate":{"label":"Rate ratio after/before","value":0.20982,"ci":[0.097479,0.399384],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"ratio"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[{"title":"Raw Story: members of the 118th Congress who violated the STOCK Act","url":"https://www.rawstory.com/congress-stock/"}],"stats":{"changepoint":"2019-01-03","changepoint_LR":58.374091,"changepoint_p":0.002,"tradeday_rate_before":0.066872,"tradeday_rate_after":0.014706,"scrutiny_date":"2024-09-30","rate_ratio":0.20982,"rate_ratio_ci":[0.097479,0.399384]}},{"id":"T11","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"After adjusting for noise, the member's trades rank at the 35% percentile of 134 members (shrunk estimate -0.28% per trade over a month).","detail":"Empirical Bayes: raw -0.0050, posterior -0.0028 (sd 0.0015); Congress mean -0.0028, between-member variance 0.000000.","estimate":{"label":"Shrunk signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.002769,"ci":[-0.005272,-0.000265],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"raw":-0.005016,"posterior_mean":-0.002769,"posterior_sd":0.001522,"congress_mean":-0.002769,"tau2":0,"percentile":0.350746,"members_compared":134,"lower95":-0.005752}},{"id":"T12","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"25 trades were followed within two weeks by a large company-specific move; 17 were on the profitable side.","detail":"Hit rate 0.68, Clopper-Pearson [0.50, 0.83], exact one-sided p = 0.054; threshold |AR| > 3 sigma.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0.68,"ci":[0.496358,0.829696],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.053876,"p_holm":0.484885,"q_bh":0.721154,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":25,"hits":17,"hit_rate":0.68,"ci":[0.496358,0.829696],"priced":183,"share_followed":0.136612}},{"id":"T13","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"13% of trades had another member trading the same stock the same way within a week (chance alone: 13%).","detail":"Co-traded share 0.127; circular-shift null mean 0.131, 95th pct 0.165, p = 0.640. Co-traded signed CAR -0.0083, p = 0.535.","estimate":{"label":"Co-traded share","value":0.126582,"ci":null,"ci_level":null,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.535011,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.902015,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Without M001157, the member with the most trades, in the co-trade index","value":0.101266,"reading":"does_not_fit"}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":237,"cotraded_share":0.126582,"null_mean":0.1311,"null_p95":0.164557,"excess_p":0.64,"cotraded_share_wo_top":0.101266,"excess_p_wo_top":0.83,"cotraded_car":-0.008332,"cotraded_car_ci":[-0.036493,0.019828],"cotraded_car_p":0.535011}},{"id":"T14","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"49% of trades were in family accounts; those moved -1.25% in the trade's favour over a month.","detail":"Family signed CAR -0.0125 [-0.0350, 0.0100], t_KP = -0.77; family minus self -0.0137 [-0.0316, 0.0035], p = 0.886.","estimate":{"label":"Family-account signed CAR","value":-0.012503,"ci":[-0.034969,0.009963],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.779264,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.936795,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"family_trades":115,"family_share":0.485232,"owner_unknown":0,"family_car":-0.012503,"family_ci":[-0.034969,0.009963],"diff":-0.013701,"diff_ci":[-0.031604,0.003543],"diff_p":0.886}},{"id":"T15","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"9 buy-and-sell round trips within six months; in the month after opening, those positions moved -6.16% in the trade's favour relative to the market.","detail":"Opening-trade signed CAR(1,21) -0.0616 [-0.1695, 0.0464], t_KP = -0.77, over 8 priced openings. Realized market-adjusted return to the closing trade averaged -7.22% (win rate 57%); it is shown for context only because exit timing is chosen after the fact.","estimate":{"label":"Opening-trade signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.061579,"ci":[-0.169511,0.046352],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.765746,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.998506,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"round_trips":9,"share_in_round_trips":0.075949,"priced":7,"realized_mean":-0.072185,"realized_win_rate":0.571429,"opening_car":-0.061579,"ci":[-0.169511,0.046352],"p":0.765746,"openings_priced":8}},{"id":"T16","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No option trades were reported.","detail":"No option trades were reported.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"option_trades":0,"option_share":0}}],"episodes":[{"title":"Market move on 2015-09-01","event_date":"2015-09-01","direction":"buy","move_pct":-2.98,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2016-06-24","event_date":"2016-06-24","direction":"buy","move_pct":-3.59,"trade":"2 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2017-08-17","event_date":"2017-08-17","direction":"buy","move_pct":-1.56,"trade":"2 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2018-02-02","event_date":"2018-02-02","direction":"sell","move_pct":-2.18,"trade":"2 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2018-03-22","event_date":"2018-03-22","direction":"sell","move_pct":-2.5,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2018-03-23","event_date":"2018-03-23","direction":"sell","move_pct":-2.13,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2018-12-04","event_date":"2018-12-04","direction":"buy","move_pct":-3.24,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2018-12-26","event_date":"2018-12-26","direction":"sell","move_pct":5.05,"trade":"4 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2019-01-04","event_date":"2019-01-04","direction":"buy","move_pct":3.35,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2022-05-18","event_date":"2022-05-18","direction":"sell","move_pct":-4.03,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2025-04-03","event_date":"2025-04-03","direction":"buy","move_pct":-4.93,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null}]}