{"id":"G000603","trades":[{"date":"2025-01-29","filed":"2025-05-30","ticker":null,"issuer":"Bitcoin","asset_type":"crypto","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":true,"trade_id":"H20030417-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030417.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-02-27","filed":"2025-05-30","ticker":null,"issuer":"Bitcoin","asset_type":"crypto","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":true,"trade_id":"H20030417-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030417.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-03-28","filed":"2025-05-30","ticker":"RSP","issuer":"Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":true,"trade_id":"H20030417-005","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030417.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.019003},{"date":"2025-04-16","filed":"2025-05-30","ticker":null,"issuer":"TOIXX","asset_type":"bond","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030417-006","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030417.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-05-12","filed":"2025-05-30","ticker":null,"issuer":"TOIXX","asset_type":"bond","direction":"buy","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030417-007","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030417.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-05-13","filed":"2025-05-30","ticker":null,"issuer":"Bitcoin","asset_type":"crypto","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030417-003","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030417.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-05-18","filed":"2025-05-30","ticker":null,"issuer":"Bitcoin","asset_type":"crypto","direction":"buy","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030417-004","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030417.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-20","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"BTC","asset_type":"crypto","direction":"buy","amount":[500001,1000000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-20","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"DIA ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"sell","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-004","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-20","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"QQQ ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"sell","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-007","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-20","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"RSP ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"sell","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-011","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-23","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"BTC","asset_type":"crypto","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-23","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"DIA ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-005","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-23","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"QQQ ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-006","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-23","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"RSP ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-010","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-23","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"TOIXX","asset_type":"bond","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-012","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-06-23","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"TTTXX","asset_type":"bond","direction":"sell","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-013","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-07-07","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"QQQ ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-008","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-07-07","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"QQQ ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-009","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-07-08","filed":"2025-07-10","ticker":null,"issuer":"BTC","asset_type":"crypto","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20030641-003","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030641.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-07-17","filed":"2025-08-12","ticker":"IBIT","issuer":"iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF - iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF","asset_type":"etf","direction":"buy","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":"Financials","late":false,"trade_id":"H20030889-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030889.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.022049},{"date":"2025-10-20","filed":"2025-11-18","ticker":null,"issuer":"BTC","asset_type":"crypto","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20033476-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20033476.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2025-10-29","filed":"2025-11-18","ticker":"IBIT","issuer":"iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"self","sector":"Financials","late":false,"trade_id":"H20033476-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20033476.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.056515},{"date":"2026-08-13","filed":"2026-09-09","ticker":null,"issuer":"RSP ETF","asset_type":"other","direction":"buy","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20035410-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20035410.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null}],"tests":[{"id":"T1","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 3 directional trades; too few for a size reading.","detail":"Only 3 directional trades; too few for a size reading.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":3}},{"id":"T2","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 3 directional trades; too few for a concentration reading.","detail":"Only 3 directional trades; too few for a concentration reading.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":3}},{"id":"T3","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 3 directional trades; too few for a cadence reading.","detail":"Only 3 directional trades; too few for a cadence reading.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":3}},{"id":"T4","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"not_computed","summary":"Abnormal returns were not computed (daily prices unavailable or too few priced trades).","detail":"Abnormal returns were not computed (daily prices unavailable or too few priced trades).","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":3}},{"id":"T5","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Before 2 large market moves, the member's net trading pointed the right way 0 times.","detail":"Hit rate 0.00, Clopper-Pearson 90% [0.00, 0.78]; exact one-sided p = 1.000; magnitude-weighted sign-flip p = 1.000. Episodes: benchmark days beyond three rolling standard deviations with trades in the prior five trading days, plus documented episodes when supplied.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0,"ci":[0,0.776393],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":1,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n_episodes":2,"hits":0,"hit_rate":0,"ci":[0,0.776393],"p_exact":1,"p_magnitude":1,"episodes":[{"event_date":"2025-04-03","move":-0.049281,"dir":1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2025-04-04","move":-0.058543,"dir":1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"}]}},{"id":"T6","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Trading arrangement: not documented; trading during absence ran at 0.00 times the normal rate.","detail":"Trading arrangement: not documented; trading during absence ran at 0.00 times the normal rate.","estimate":{"label":"Absence rate ratio","value":0,"ci":[0,86.292353],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"ratio"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"rate_ratio":0,"rate_ratio_ci":[0,86.292353],"rate_ratio_batchdays":0,"rate_ratio_batchdays_ci":[0,86.292353],"absence_days":3,"trades_in_absence":0}},{"id":"T7","reading":"open_question","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"2 of 24 trades (8.3%) were disclosed late; median lag 19 days. Another 1 were over 45 days from the trade but filed within 30 days of the stated notification date.","detail":"Late share 0.083, Wilson [0.028, 0.223]; 90th percentile lag 57 days; longest 121 days.","estimate":{"label":"Late share","value":0.083333,"ci":[0.027971,0.223121],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Late from the trade date alone, ignoring notification dates","value":0.125,"reading":"open_question"}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":24,"amendment_rows_excluded":0,"late":2,"late_from_trade":3,"excused_by_notification":1,"late_share":0.083333,"late_ci":[0.027971,0.223121],"median_lag":19,"p90_lag":57.3,"max_lag":121,"filings":5,"late_filings":1,"late_priced":0,"timely_priced":3,"late_priced_dates":0}},{"id":"T8","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 3 directional trades; too few for a committee-overlap reading.","detail":"Only 3 directional trades; too few for a committee-overlap reading.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":3}},{"id":"T9","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"0 priced trades fell in affected industries in the 30 days before the member's committee events and 3 did not; at least 10 of each are needed to compare them.","detail":"0 priced trades fell in affected industries in the 30 days before the member's committee events and 3 did not; at least 10 of each are needed to compare them.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":0,"n_other":3,"events":2111}},{"id":"T10","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 3 directional trades.","detail":"Only 3 directional trades.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{}},{"id":"T11","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"not_computed","summary":"Requires T4 for every member; computed in the cross-member pass.","detail":"Requires T4 for every member; computed in the cross-member pass.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{}},{"id":"T12","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"1 trades were followed within two weeks by a large company-specific move; 0 were on the profitable side.","detail":"Hit rate 0.00, Clopper-Pearson [0.00, 0.95], exact one-sided p = 1.000; threshold |AR| > 3 sigma.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0,"ci":[0,0.95],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":1,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":1,"hits":0,"hit_rate":0,"ci":[0,0.95],"priced":3,"share_followed":0.333333}},{"id":"T13","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 3 directional trades.","detail":"Only 3 directional trades.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":3}},{"id":"T14","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"not_computed","summary":"Only 3 trades name the account owner; at least 10 are needed.","detail":"Only 3 trades name the account owner; at least 10 are needed.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"owner_unknown":0}},{"id":"T15","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"Only 3 directional trades.","detail":"Only 3 directional trades.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{}},{"id":"T16","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No option trades were reported.","detail":"No option trades were reported.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"option_trades":0,"option_share":0}}],"episodes":[{"title":"Market move on 2025-04-03","event_date":"2025-04-03","direction":"buy","move_pct":-4.93,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2025-04-04","event_date":"2025-04-04","direction":"buy","move_pct":-5.85,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null}]}