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Corporation","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":"Energy","late":false,"trade_id":"Sefda208f-8afc-48d9-938e-5cb8e6bfc988-002","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/efda208f-8afc-48d9-938e-5cb8e6bfc988/","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":-0.041308},{"date":"2019-11-19","filed":"2019-12-12","ticker":"PRU","issuer":"Prudential Financial, Inc.","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":"Financials","late":false,"trade_id":"S1debb953-82f1-4cd3-a038-ee7c85d975f8-001","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/1debb953-82f1-4cd3-a038-ee7c85d975f8/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.008939},{"date":"2019-11-19","filed":"2019-12-12","ticker":"BSTZ","issuer":"BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"S1debb953-82f1-4cd3-a038-ee7c85d975f8-002","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/1debb953-82f1-4cd3-a038-ee7c85d975f8/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2019-12-23","filed":"2020-01-09","ticker":"TGBAX","issuer":"Templeton Global Bond Fund Advisor Class","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"S4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da-005","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.0095},{"date":"2019-12-23","filed":"2020-01-09","ticker":"REZI","issuer":"Resideo Technologies, Inc.","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":"Industrials","late":false,"trade_id":"S4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da-006","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.014187},{"date":"2019-12-23","filed":"2020-01-09","ticker":"KHC","issuer":"The Kraft Heinz Company","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":"Consumer Staples","late":false,"trade_id":"S4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da-007","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da/","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":-0.011616},{"date":"2019-12-23","filed":"2020-01-09","ticker":"GTX","issuer":"Garrett Motion Inc.","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":"Consumer Discretionary","late":false,"trade_id":"S4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da-008","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2019-12-31","filed":"2020-01-09","ticker":"BIV","issuer":"Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Sha","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"S4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da-001","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.001291},{"date":"2019-12-31","filed":"2020-01-09","ticker":"VFIJX","issuer":"Vanguard GNMA Fund Admiral Shares","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"S4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da-002","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.001056},{"date":"2019-12-31","filed":"2020-01-09","ticker":"SLB","issuer":"Schlumberger Limited","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":"Energy","late":false,"trade_id":"S4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da-003","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da/","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":-0.0241},{"date":"2019-12-31","filed":"2020-01-09","ticker":"MPC","issuer":"Marathon Petroleum Corporation","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"self","sector":"Energy","late":false,"trade_id":"S4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da-004","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/4a942198-2478-4da7-b598-c98a9fe676da/","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":-0.03413},{"date":"2020-01-29","filed":"2020-02-24","ticker":"BMEZ","issuer":"BlackRock Health Sciences Trust II","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[100001,250000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Se01a74ce-8d08-42e0-961e-6b275519c2db-001","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/e01a74ce-8d08-42e0-961e-6b275519c2db/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2020-04-29","filed":"2020-04-30","ticker":null,"issuer":"Westbrand, Inc. Company: Westbrand, Inc.  (Minot, ND) Description:  Bank holding company of First Western Bank","asset_type":"other","direction":"buy","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"self","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sd68fe6d0-0db6-41c7-b1ed-0a65561c22cf-001","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/d68fe6d0-0db6-41c7-b1ed-0a65561c22cf/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null}],"tests":[{"id":"T1","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"2% of 178 trades were in the lowest disclosure band ($1,001-$15,000); trades just before large company-specific moves were not larger than usual.","detail":"Lowest-band share 0.022, 90% Wilson [0.010, 0.049]. Event-linked size gap Delta_z = 0.00 (within-issuer permutation p = 1.000); 0 event-linked trades with z > 3 in bands of $50,001 or more.","estimate":{"label":"Lowest-band share","value":0.022472,"ci":[0.010128,0.049115],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":1,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":178,"lowest_band_share":0.022472,"lowest_band_ci":[0.010128,0.049115],"share_over_50k":0.88764,"max_z":0,"size_gap":0,"size_gap_p":1,"event_linked":9,"event_linked_outliers":0}},{"id":"T2","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"100 different companies; the effective number of equally sized positions is 61 and trading spans 92% of maximum sector diversity.","detail":"Dollar HHI 0.016 (identified set [0.012, 0.029]); trade-count HHI 0.015 vs. 95th percentile 0.009 of 178 random draws from all congressional trades (p = 0.002). Normalized sector entropy 0.92 [0.91, 0.96]. Top three issuers (WTW, ABBV, IBM) carry at least 5% of dollar volume.","estimate":{"label":"Effective number of issuers","value":61.472418,"ci":[34.38233,82.315843],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"count"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":178,"issuers":100,"hhi_mid":0.016267,"hhi_bounds":[0.012148,0.029085],"n_eff":61.472418,"hhi_count":0.01515,"peer_benchmark_p95":0.009342,"peer_benchmark_p":0.002,"sector_entropy":0.924784,"sector_entropy_ci":[0.906979,0.958701],"top3_share_lower":0.053899,"top3":["WTW","ABBV","IBM"],"top3_tied_to_events":false}},{"id":"T3","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"23% of trading days were batches of three or more companies; 2% of trades look routine; 5.1% of trades came within five trading days before a large company-specific move (chance alone: 4.3%).","detail":"Batch-day share 19/84, Wilson [0.16, 0.31]; index of dispersion 3.48 (chi-square p = 0); routine share 0.02 (portfolio-routine or Cohen-Malloy-Pomorski two-year rule). Proximity share 0.051 vs. circular-shift null mean 0.043, p = 0.362.","estimate":{"label":"Batch-day share","value":0.22619,"ci":[0.16034,0.309129],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.362,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.784333,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":178,"trade_days":84,"batch_share_trades":0.483146,"batch_day_share":0.22619,"batch_day_ci":[0.16034,0.309129],"dispersion_index":3.477847,"dispersion_p":0,"routine_share":0.016854,"proximity_share":0.050562,"proximity_null_mean":0.042613,"proximity_null_p95":0.073596,"proximity_p":0.362,"proximity_nonroutine":0.051429,"proximity_routine":0}},{"id":"T4","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Across 123 priced trades, purchases and sales moved 1.17% against the trade's direction relative to the market over the next month on average.","detail":"Mean signed CAR(1,21) = -0.0117; 90% KP interval [-0.0295, 0.0060]; t_BMP = -2.30, r-bar = 0.024, t_KP = -1.14, Patell Z = -2.39, Corrado Z = -1.91. Dollar-weighted identified set [-0.0252, 0.0090]. Calendar-time alpha -1.48%/yr (NW t = -0.13, 812 days).","estimate":{"label":"Mean signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.01174,"ci":[-0.02947,0.00599],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.871665,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.982752,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Horizon 5 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.001041},{"variant":"Horizon 63 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.020223},{"variant":"Excluding largest batch date","reading":"open_question","value":-0.010676},{"variant":"Self-owned accounts only","reading":"open_question","value":-0.01174},{"variant":"Dollar-weighted (bounds)","reading":"open_question","value":0.008975},{"variant":"Calendar-time alpha (annualized)","reading":null,"value":-0.014762}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":123,"theta":-0.01174,"ci":[-0.02947,0.00599],"p":0.871665,"t_kp":-1.139638,"rbar":0.024495,"se_cs":0.00529,"se_kp":0.010697,"t_cs":-2.219176,"t_bmp":-2.304358,"patell_z":-2.387731,"corrado_z":-1.906247,"dollar_weighted_bounds":[-0.025191,0.008975],"calendar_time":{"alpha_daily":-0.000059,"se":0.000468,"days":812,"t":-0.125254,"p_one_sided":0.549839},"calendar_alpha_ci":[-0.000834,0.000717],"by_horizon":{"5":{"n":123,"theta":-0.001041,"ci":[-0.00889,0.006808],"p":0.644947,"t_kp":-0.372582,"rbar":0.024495,"se_cs":0.002342,"se_kp":0.004735,"t_cs":-0.444551,"t_bmp":-0.753365,"patell_z":-0.729591,"corrado_z":-0.12858},"21":{"n":123,"theta":-0.01174,"ci":[-0.02947,0.00599],"p":0.871665,"t_kp":-1.139638,"rbar":0.024495,"se_cs":0.00529,"se_kp":0.010697,"t_cs":-2.219176,"t_bmp":-2.304358,"patell_z":-2.387731,"corrado_z":-1.906247},"63":{"n":123,"theta":-0.020223,"ci":[-0.056126,0.01568],"p":0.829941,"t_kp":-0.95768,"rbar":0.024495,"se_cs":0.010713,"se_kp":0.021662,"t_cs":-1.887749,"t_bmp":-1.936437,"patell_z":-1.978816,"corrado_z":-1.623663}}}},{"id":"T5","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Before 3 large market moves, the member's net trading pointed the right way 1 times.","detail":"Hit rate 0.33, Clopper-Pearson 90% [0.02, 0.86]; exact one-sided p = 0.875; magnitude-weighted sign-flip p = 0.614. Episodes: benchmark days beyond three rolling standard deviations with trades in the prior five trading days, plus documented episodes when supplied.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0.333333,"ci":[0.016952,0.86465],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.875,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n_episodes":3,"hits":1,"hit_rate":0.333333,"ci":[0.016952,0.86465],"p_exact":0.875,"p_magnitude":0.6143,"episodes":[{"event_date":"2018-02-06","move":0.019702,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2018-02-08","move":-0.037509,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2019-01-04","move":0.033496,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":8,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"}]}},{"id":"T6","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"not_computed","summary":"No documentary record of trading arrangements or absence periods was available.","detail":"No documentary record of trading arrangements or absence periods was available.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{}},{"id":"T7","reading":"open_question","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"9 of 211 trades (4.3%) were disclosed late; median lag 13 days.","detail":"Late share 0.043, Wilson [0.025, 0.072]; 90th percentile lag 23 days; longest 581 days.","estimate":{"label":"Late share","value":0.042654,"ci":[0.024981,0.071907],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":211,"amendment_rows_excluded":0,"late":9,"late_from_trade":9,"excused_by_notification":0,"late_share":0.042654,"late_ci":[0.024981,0.071907],"median_lag":13,"p90_lag":23,"max_lag":581,"filings":74,"late_filings":3,"late_priced":0,"timely_priced":123,"late_priced_dates":0}},{"id":"T8","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"13% of the member's mapped trading by dollar value was in industries their committees oversee, against 16% for a comparable benchmark.","detail":"Committees SLIA, SSAF, SSAP, SSEG; jurisdiction sectors Agricultural & Farm Machinery, Agricultural Products & Services, Copper, Energy, Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, Financial Exchanges & Data, Food Distributors, Gold, Packaged Foods & Meats, Timber REITs, Utilities. Dollar share 0.132 (identified set [0.062, 0.261], bootstrap 0.081-0.195); benchmarks S&P 500 0.156, congressional peers 0.080.","estimate":{"label":"Jurisdiction excess share","value":-0.024269,"ci":[-0.07562,0.038387],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":154,"in_jurisdiction_trades":19,"share":0.132167,"share_bounds":[0.061569,0.260889],"share_ci":[0.080816,0.194822],"benchmark_sp500":0.156436,"benchmark_peers":0.080229,"excess":-0.024269,"excess_ci":[-0.07562,0.038387],"committees":["SLIA","SSAF","SSAP","SSEG"],"jurisdiction_sectors":["Agricultural & Farm Machinery","Agricultural Products & Services","Copper","Energy","Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals","Financial Exchanges & Data","Food Distributors","Gold","Packaged Foods & Meats","Timber REITs","Utilities"],"regression_error":"Error evaluating factor: TypeError: 'module' object is not callable\n    y ~ J + C(sector)\n            ^^^^^^^^^","gamma1":null,"gamma1_ci":[null,null],"gamma1_p":null}},{"id":"T9","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"14 trades in industries the member's committees oversee came in the month before a committee or floor action on a bill; they moved -2.88% in the trade's favour, -1.93% relative to the member's other trades.","detail":"theta_9 = -0.0288; pre-event minus other trades = -0.0193 [-0.0567, 0.0116], p = 0.828; mean pre-trade drift psi = -0.0063.","estimate":{"label":"Pre-event minus other trades, signed CAR","value":-0.019268,"ci":[-0.056653,0.011621],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.828,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.988258,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Window 15 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.021705},{"variant":"Window 60 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.011659},{"variant":"Excluding largest batch date","reading":"open_question","value":-0.020117},{"variant":"Placebo: month after events","reading":null,"value":null,"placebo_reading":null}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":14,"n_other":109,"theta9":-0.028815,"diff":-0.019268,"ci":[-0.056653,0.011621],"p":0.828,"pre_trade_drift":-0.006276,"pre_trade_drift_significant":false,"events":2470,"events_by_kind":{"chamber_passage":863,"committee_markup":764,"committee_reported":717,"became_law":126},"affected_share_of_priced_trades":0.113821,"trade_dates":11,"placebo_reading":null}},{"id":"T10","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No documented scrutiny date; the estimated change point in trading activity is shown for reference.","detail":"No documented scrutiny date; the estimated change point in trading activity is shown for reference. Estimated change point 2014-08-25 (permutation p = 0.006).","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"changepoint":"2014-08-25","changepoint_LR":15.392974,"changepoint_p":0.006,"tradeday_rate_before":0.011594,"tradeday_rate_after":0.055712}},{"id":"T11","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"After adjusting for noise, the member's trades rank at the 23% percentile of 134 members (shrunk estimate -0.28% per trade over a month).","detail":"Empirical Bayes: raw -0.0117, posterior -0.0028 (sd 0.0015); Congress mean -0.0028, between-member variance 0.000000.","estimate":{"label":"Shrunk signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.002769,"ci":[-0.005272,-0.000265],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"raw":-0.01174,"posterior_mean":-0.002769,"posterior_sd":0.001522,"congress_mean":-0.002769,"tau2":0,"percentile":0.231343,"members_compared":134,"lower95":-0.005752}},{"id":"T12","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"18 trades were followed within two weeks by a large company-specific move; 6 were on the profitable side.","detail":"Hit rate 0.33, Clopper-Pearson [0.16, 0.55], exact one-sided p = 0.952; threshold |AR| > 3 sigma.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0.333333,"ci":[0.156344,0.554046],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.951874,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":18,"hits":6,"hit_rate":0.333333,"ci":[0.156344,0.554046],"priced":123,"share_followed":0.146341}},{"id":"T13","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"11% of trades had another member trading the same stock the same way within a week (chance alone: 7%).","detail":"Co-traded share 0.112; circular-shift null mean 0.071, 95th pct 0.119, p = 0.120. Co-traded signed CAR -0.0013, p = 0.617.","estimate":{"label":"Co-traded share","value":0.11236,"ci":null,"ci_level":null,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.617466,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.902015,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Without M001157, the member with the most trades, in the co-trade index","value":0.101124,"reading":"does_not_fit"}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":178,"cotraded_share":0.11236,"null_mean":0.070764,"null_p95":0.119101,"excess_p":0.12,"cotraded_share_wo_top":0.101124,"excess_p_wo_top":0.11,"cotraded_car":-0.001325,"cotraded_car_ci":[-0.030509,0.027859],"cotraded_car_p":0.617466}},{"id":"T14","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"2% of trades were in a spouse's or dependent's name; returns not computed for them.","detail":"2% of trades were in a spouse's or dependent's name; returns not computed for them.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"family_trades":4,"family_share":0.022472,"owner_unknown":0}},{"id":"T15","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"15 buy-and-sell round trips within six months; in the month after opening, those positions moved -2.54% in the trade's favour relative to the market.","detail":"Opening-trade signed CAR(1,21) -0.0254 [-0.0508, 0.0001], t_KP = -1.72, over 12 priced openings. Realized market-adjusted return to the closing trade averaged -2.34% (win rate 42%); it is shown for context only because exit timing is chosen after the fact.","estimate":{"label":"Opening-trade signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.025378,"ci":[-0.050821,0.000064],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.943476,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.998506,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"round_trips":15,"share_in_round_trips":0.168539,"priced":12,"realized_mean":-0.023356,"realized_win_rate":0.416667,"opening_car":-0.025378,"ci":[-0.050821,0.000064],"p":0.943476,"openings_priced":12}},{"id":"T16","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No option trades were reported.","detail":"No option trades were reported.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"option_trades":0,"option_share":0}}],"episodes":[{"title":"Market move on 2018-02-06","event_date":"2018-02-06","direction":"sell","move_pct":1.97,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2018-02-08","event_date":"2018-02-08","direction":"sell","move_pct":-3.75,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Right way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2019-01-04","event_date":"2019-01-04","direction":"sell","move_pct":3.35,"trade":"8 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null}]}