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Bill","asset_type":"bond","direction":"buy","amount":[250001,500000],"owner":"spouse","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20024710-004","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2024/20024710.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2024-04-20","filed":"2024-05-13","ticker":null,"issuer":"US Treasury Bill 06/13/2024","asset_type":"bond","direction":"buy","amount":[250001,500000],"owner":"spouse","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20025061-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2024/20025061.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2024-07-13","filed":"2024-08-03","ticker":null,"issuer":"US Treasury Bill 12/05/2024","asset_type":"bond","direction":"buy","amount":[250001,500000],"owner":"spouse","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20025438-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2024/20025438.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2024-07-24","filed":"2024-08-03","ticker":null,"issuer":"US Treasury Bill 12/05/2024","asset_type":"bond","direction":"sell","amount":[250001,500000],"owner":"spouse","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"H20025438-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2024/20025438.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2024-08-07","filed":"2025-08-13","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[250001,500000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030884-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030884.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.058741},{"date":"2024-10-01","filed":"2025-08-13","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[500001,1000000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030884-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030884.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.09831},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"GOOGL","issuer":"Alphabet Inc. - Class A Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[50001,100000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Communication Services","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.016487},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"AMGN","issuer":"Amgen Inc. - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Health Care","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.004646},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"AAPL","issuer":"Apple Inc. - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-003","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.036534},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"APTV","issuer":"Aptiv PLC Ordinary Shares","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Consumer Discretionary","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-004","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.026757},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"MSFT","issuer":"Microsoft Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-005","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.002622},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"MDLZ","issuer":"Mondelez International, Inc. - Class A Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Consumer Staples","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-006","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.02697},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[250001,500000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-007","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.008516},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"QCOM","issuer":"QUALCOMM Incorporated - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-008","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.001217},{"date":"2025-02-11","filed":"2025-08-20","ticker":"V","issuer":"Visa Inc.","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Financials","late":true,"trade_id":"H20030922-009","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2025/20030922.pdf","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":-0.004423},{"date":"2026-01-14","filed":"2026-02-17","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":false,"trade_id":"H20034016-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034016.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.012057},{"date":"2026-01-30","filed":"2026-02-17","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":false,"trade_id":"H20034016-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034016.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.027569},{"date":"2026-02-25","filed":"2026-04-03","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":false,"trade_id":"H20034158-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034158.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.046393},{"date":"2026-03-25","filed":"2026-04-21","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":false,"trade_id":"H20034359-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034359.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.014761},{"date":"2026-04-24","filed":"2026-05-21","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":false,"trade_id":"H20034547-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034547.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":0.067964},{"date":"2026-05-27","filed":"2026-07-02","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":false,"trade_id":"H20034774-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034774.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.001423},{"date":"2026-06-15","filed":"2026-07-02","ticker":"SPCX","issuer":"Space Exploration Technologies Corp. - Class A Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"buy","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"dependent","sector":"Information Technology","late":false,"trade_id":"H20034774-002","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20034774.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2026-08-31","filed":"2026-10-14","ticker":"NVDA","issuer":"NVIDIA Corporation - Common Stock","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"spouse","sector":"Information Technology","late":false,"trade_id":"H20035487-001","source":"house_clerk","source_url":"https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/2026/20035487.pdf","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":-0.027618}],"tests":[{"id":"T1","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"72% of 78 trades were in the lowest disclosure band ($1,001-$15,000); trades just before large company-specific moves were not larger than usual.","detail":"Lowest-band share 0.718, 90% Wilson [0.628, 0.793]. Event-linked size gap Delta_z = 0.00 (within-issuer permutation p = 1.000); 0 event-linked trades with z > 3 in bands of $50,001 or more.","estimate":{"label":"Lowest-band share","value":0.717949,"ci":[0.627927,0.793358],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":1,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":78,"lowest_band_share":0.717949,"lowest_band_ci":[0.627927,0.793358],"share_over_50k":0.102564,"max_z":0,"size_gap":0,"size_gap_p":1,"event_linked":17,"event_linked_outliers":0}},{"id":"T2","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"27 different companies; the effective number of equally sized positions is 1 and trading spans 20% of maximum sector diversity.","detail":"Dollar HHI 0.695 (identified set [0.352, 0.884]); trade-count HHI 0.116 vs. 95th percentile 0.017 of 78 random draws from all congressional trades (p = 0.002). Normalized sector entropy 0.20 [0.05, 0.33]. Top three issuers (NVDA, GOOGL, V) carry at least 68% of dollar volume.","estimate":{"label":"Effective number of issuers","value":1.438094,"ci":[1.131232,2.837043],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"count"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":78,"issuers":27,"hhi_mid":0.695365,"hhi_bounds":[0.35248,0.883992],"n_eff":1.438094,"hhi_count":0.115713,"peer_benchmark_p95":0.017094,"peer_benchmark_p":0.002,"sector_entropy":0.202757,"sector_entropy_ci":[0.054697,0.333172],"top3_share_lower":0.681938,"top3":["NVDA","GOOGL","V"],"top3_tied_to_events":true}},{"id":"T3","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"29% of trading days were batches of three or more companies; 6% of trades look routine; 21.8% of trades came within five trading days before a large company-specific move (chance alone: 6.7%).","detail":"Batch-day share 7/24, Wilson [0.17, 0.46]; index of dispersion 9.76 (chi-square p = 0); routine share 0.06 (portfolio-routine or Cohen-Malloy-Pomorski two-year rule). Proximity share 0.218 vs. circular-shift null mean 0.067, p = 0.036.","estimate":{"label":"Batch-day share","value":0.291667,"ci":[0.166568,0.458978],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":true,"p_value":0.036,"p_holm":0.252,"q_bh":0.3432,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":78,"trade_days":24,"batch_share_trades":0.705128,"batch_day_share":0.291667,"batch_day_ci":[0.166568,0.458978],"dispersion_index":9.758727,"dispersion_p":0,"routine_share":0.064103,"proximity_share":0.217949,"proximity_null_mean":0.06662,"proximity_null_p95":0.179487,"proximity_p":0.036,"proximity_nonroutine":0.219178,"proximity_routine":0.2}},{"id":"T4","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Across 77 priced trades, purchases and sales moved 3.08% against the trade's direction relative to the market over the next month on average.","detail":"Mean signed CAR(1,21) = -0.0308; 90% KP interval [-0.0684, 0.0068]; t_BMP = -3.97, r-bar = 0.095, t_KP = -1.32, Patell Z = -4.31, Corrado Z = -3.99. Dollar-weighted identified set [-0.0637, -0.0046]. Calendar-time alpha -47.43%/yr (NW t = -1.73, 383 days).","estimate":{"label":"Mean signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.030829,"ci":[-0.068426,0.006768],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.958173,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.982752,"robust":false,"robustness":[{"variant":"Horizon 5 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.009934},{"variant":"Horizon 63 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.0072},{"variant":"Excluding largest batch date","reading":"open_question","value":-0.022599},{"variant":"Self-owned accounts only","reading":"not_assessed","value":null},{"variant":"Dollar-weighted (bounds)","reading":"does_not_fit","value":-0.004642},{"variant":"Calendar-time alpha (annualized)","reading":null,"value":-0.4743}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":77,"theta":-0.030829,"ci":[-0.068426,0.006768],"p":0.904035,"t_kp":-1.3166,"rbar":0.095186,"se_cs":0.007485,"se_kp":0.022579,"t_cs":-4.11902,"t_bmp":-3.971757,"patell_z":-4.305217,"corrado_z":-3.989505,"dollar_weighted_bounds":[-0.06373,-0.004642],"calendar_time":{"alpha_daily":-0.001882,"se":0.001088,"days":383,"t":-1.729862,"p_one_sided":0.958173},"calendar_alpha_ci":[-0.003694,-0.00007],"by_horizon":{"5":{"n":77,"theta":-0.009934,"ci":[-0.035215,0.015348],"p":0.641882,"t_kp":-0.36485,"rbar":0.095186,"se_cs":0.005033,"se_kp":0.015183,"t_cs":-1.973746,"t_bmp":-1.100635,"patell_z":-1.555344,"corrado_z":-2.151965},"21":{"n":77,"theta":-0.030829,"ci":[-0.068426,0.006768],"p":0.904035,"t_kp":-1.3166,"rbar":0.095186,"se_cs":0.007485,"se_kp":0.022579,"t_cs":-4.11902,"t_bmp":-3.971757,"patell_z":-4.305217,"corrado_z":-3.989505},"63":{"n":76,"theta":-0.0072,"ci":[-0.062728,0.048329],"p":0.68308,"t_kp":-0.478283,"rbar":0.095186,"se_cs":0.011117,"se_kp":0.033342,"t_cs":-0.647626,"t_bmp":-1.434463,"patell_z":-1.071199,"corrado_z":-1.063835}}}},{"id":"T5","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Before 3 large market moves, the member's net trading pointed the right way 0 times.","detail":"Hit rate 0.00, Clopper-Pearson 90% [0.00, 0.63]; exact one-sided p = 1.000; magnitude-weighted sign-flip p = 1.000. Episodes: benchmark days beyond three rolling standard deviations with trades in the prior five trading days, plus documented episodes when supplied.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0,"ci":[0,0.631597],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":1,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n_episodes":3,"hits":0,"hit_rate":0,"ci":[0,0.631597],"p_exact":1,"p_magnitude":1,"episodes":[{"event_date":"2020-04-06","move":0.067166,"dir":-1,"robust":false,"n_trades":13,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2022-01-28","move":0.024835,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":3,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"},{"event_date":"2024-08-08","move":0.023117,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"}]}},{"id":"T6","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Trading arrangement: not documented; trading during absence ran at 0.00 times the normal rate.","detail":"Trading arrangement: not documented; trading during absence ran at 0.00 times the normal rate.","estimate":{"label":"Absence rate ratio","value":0,"ci":[0,36.922127],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"ratio"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"rate_ratio":0,"rate_ratio_ci":[0,36.922127],"rate_ratio_batchdays":0,"rate_ratio_batchdays_ci":[0,125.368995],"absence_days":2,"trades_in_absence":0}},{"id":"T7","reading":"open_question","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"57 of 82 trades (69.5%) were disclosed late; median lag 434 days.","detail":"Late share 0.695, Wilson [0.606, 0.771]; 90th percentile lag 503 days; longest 503 days.","estimate":{"label":"Late share","value":0.695122,"ci":[0.606379,0.7714],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":82,"amendment_rows_excluded":0,"late":57,"late_from_trade":57,"excused_by_notification":0,"late_share":0.695122,"late_ci":[0.606379,0.7714],"median_lag":434,"p90_lag":503,"max_lag":503,"filings":19,"late_filings":4,"late_priced":57,"timely_priced":20,"late_priced_dates":9}},{"id":"T8","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"4% of the member's mapped trading by dollar value was in industries their committees oversee, against 23% for a comparable benchmark.","detail":"Committees HSBA, HSSM; jurisdiction sectors Financials, Real Estate, Regional Banks. Dollar share 0.037 (identified set [0.011, 0.121], bootstrap 0.006-0.094); benchmarks S&P 500 0.212, congressional peers 0.232.","estimate":{"label":"Jurisdiction excess share","value":-0.194925,"ci":[-0.225091,-0.137228],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":73,"in_jurisdiction_trades":11,"share":0.03663,"share_bounds":[0.010935,0.121182],"share_ci":[0.006465,0.094327],"benchmark_sp500":0.211881,"benchmark_peers":0.231555,"excess":-0.194925,"excess_ci":[-0.225091,-0.137228],"committees":["HSBA","HSSM"],"jurisdiction_sectors":["Financials","Real Estate","Regional Banks"],"regression_error":"Error evaluating factor: TypeError: 'module' object is not callable\n    y ~ J + C(sector) + C(month)\n            ^^^^^^^^^","gamma1":null,"gamma1_ci":[null,null],"gamma1_p":null}},{"id":"T9","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"3 priced trades fell in affected industries in the 30 days before the member's committee events and 74 did not; at least 10 of each are needed to compare them.","detail":"3 priced trades fell in affected industries in the 30 days before the member's committee events and 74 did not; at least 10 of each are needed to compare them.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":3,"n_other":74,"events":2709}},{"id":"T10","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"After scrutiny on 2021-12-13, trading ran at 0.37 times its earlier rate.","detail":"After scrutiny on 2021-12-13, trading ran at 0.37 times its earlier rate. Change point 2026-01-14 (p = 0.020).","estimate":{"label":"Rate ratio after/before","value":0.372146,"ci":[0.247265,0.556065],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"ratio"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[{"title":"Insider investigation of STOCK Act violations names 14 members","url":"https://www.thedailybeast.com/stock-act-was-violated-by-14-members-of-congress-report-says"}],"stats":{"changepoint":"2026-01-14","changepoint_LR":11.449699,"changepoint_p":0.02,"tradeday_rate_before":0.009281,"tradeday_rate_after":0.04878,"scrutiny_date":"2021-12-13","rate_ratio":0.372146,"rate_ratio_ci":[0.247265,0.556065]}},{"id":"T11","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"After adjusting for noise, the member's trades rank at the 10% percentile of 134 members (shrunk estimate -0.28% per trade over a month).","detail":"Empirical Bayes: raw -0.0308, posterior -0.0028 (sd 0.0015); Congress mean -0.0028, between-member variance 0.000000.","estimate":{"label":"Shrunk signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.002769,"ci":[-0.005272,-0.000265],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"raw":-0.030829,"posterior_mean":-0.002769,"posterior_sd":0.001522,"congress_mean":-0.002769,"tau2":0,"percentile":0.097015,"members_compared":134,"lower95":-0.005752}},{"id":"T12","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"32 trades were followed within two weeks by a large company-specific move; 18 were on the profitable side.","detail":"Hit rate 0.56, Clopper-Pearson [0.40, 0.71], exact one-sided p = 0.298; threshold |AR| > 3 sigma.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0.5625,"ci":[0.403168,0.712725],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.298307,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":32,"hits":18,"hit_rate":0.5625,"ci":[0.403168,0.712725],"priced":77,"share_followed":0.415584}},{"id":"T13","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"58% of trades had another member trading the same stock the same way within a week (chance alone: 35%).","detail":"Co-traded share 0.577; circular-shift null mean 0.355, 95th pct 0.526, p = 0.030. Co-traded signed CAR -0.0337, p = 0.983.","estimate":{"label":"Co-traded share","value":0.576923,"ci":null,"ci_level":null,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.982929,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.982929,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Without M001157, the member with the most trades, in the co-trade index","value":0.525641,"reading":"open_question"}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":78,"cotraded_share":0.576923,"null_mean":0.354571,"null_p95":0.525641,"excess_p":0.03,"cotraded_share_wo_top":0.525641,"excess_p_wo_top":0.04,"cotraded_car":-0.03368,"cotraded_car_ci":[-0.060566,-0.006794],"cotraded_car_p":0.982929}},{"id":"T14","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"100% of trades were in family accounts; those moved -3.08% in the trade's favour over a month.","detail":"Family signed CAR -0.0308 [-0.0684, 0.0068], t_KP = -1.32.","estimate":{"label":"Family-account signed CAR","value":-0.030829,"ci":[-0.068426,0.006768],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.904035,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.95426,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"family_trades":78,"family_share":1,"owner_unknown":0,"family_car":-0.030829,"family_ci":[-0.068426,0.006768],"diff":null,"diff_ci":[null,null],"diff_p":null}},{"id":"T15","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"1 round trips but fewer than three priced.","detail":"1 round trips but fewer than three priced.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"round_trips":1,"share_in_round_trips":0.025641}},{"id":"T16","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No option trades were reported.","detail":"No option trades were reported.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"option_trades":0,"option_share":0}}],"episodes":[{"title":"Market move on 2020-04-06","event_date":"2020-04-06","direction":"sell","move_pct":6.72,"trade":"13 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2022-01-28","event_date":"2022-01-28","direction":"sell","move_pct":2.48,"trade":"3 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null},{"title":"Market move on 2024-08-08","event_date":"2024-08-08","direction":"sell","move_pct":2.31,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null}]}