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(NASDAQ)","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sbbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b-087","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/bbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2015-02-13","filed":"2015-02-26","ticker":"ALE","issuer":"ALLETE, Inc. (NYSE)","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sbbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b-088","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/bbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2015-02-13","filed":"2015-02-26","ticker":"AKRX","issuer":"Akorn, Inc. (NASDAQ)","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sbbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b-089","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/bbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2015-02-13","filed":"2015-02-26","ticker":"AFSI","issuer":"AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. (NASDAQ)","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sbbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b-090","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/bbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2015-02-13","filed":"2015-02-26","ticker":"ABCO","issuer":"The Advisory Board Company (NASDAQ)","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sbbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b-091","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/bbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2015-02-13","filed":"2015-02-26","ticker":"AAT","issuer":"American Assets Trust, Inc. (NYSE)","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":"Real Estate","late":false,"trade_id":"Sbbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b-092","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/bbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b/","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":null},{"date":"2015-02-13","filed":"2015-02-26","ticker":"AAON","issuer":"AAON Inc. (NASDAQ)","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":"Industrials","late":false,"trade_id":"Sbbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b-093","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/bbdeaa6d-dcb6-41fa-a5d5-cb5e5d10af6b/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2017-01-26","filed":"2017-02-17","ticker":null,"issuer":"AQFH-Aquesta Financial Holdings, Inc.","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sc7e41996-1636-4615-8d99-3fe47ca90f95-003","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/c7e41996-1636-4615-8d99-3fe47ca90f95/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2017-02-01","filed":"2017-02-17","ticker":"AQFH","issuer":"Aquesta Financial Holdings, Inc.","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[15001,50000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sc7e41996-1636-4615-8d99-3fe47ca90f95-002","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/c7e41996-1636-4615-8d99-3fe47ca90f95/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2017-02-03","filed":"2017-02-17","ticker":"AQFH","issuer":"Aquesta Financial Holdings, Inc.","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":false,"trade_id":"Sc7e41996-1636-4615-8d99-3fe47ca90f95-001","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/c7e41996-1636-4615-8d99-3fe47ca90f95/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2018-12-20","filed":"2019-02-27","ticker":"CVS","issuer":"CVS Health Corporation","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":"Health Care","late":true,"trade_id":"S44a21895-607d-48b6-89d9-0876caad796f-001","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/44a21895-607d-48b6-89d9-0876caad796f/","in_jurisdiction":true,"car_5":0.028899},{"date":"2018-12-20","filed":"2019-02-27","ticker":null,"issuer":"Victory Portfolio Munder Multi-Cap Mutual Fund Company: Munder Funds  (Coloumbus, OH)","asset_type":"other","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"joint","sector":null,"late":true,"trade_id":"S44a21895-607d-48b6-89d9-0876caad796f-002","source":"senate_stock_watcher","source_url":"https://efdsearch.senate.gov/search/view/ptr/44a21895-607d-48b6-89d9-0876caad796f/","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null},{"date":"2022-08-30","filed":"2023-07-15","ticker":"KD","issuer":"KD","asset_type":"stock","direction":"sell","amount":[1001,15000],"owner":"unknown","sector":"Information Technology","late":true,"trade_id":"SQT000476-20230715-001","source":"senate_quiver","source_url":"","in_jurisdiction":false,"car_5":null}],"tests":[{"id":"T1","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"99% of 98 trades were in the lowest disclosure band ($1,001-$15,000); trades just before large company-specific moves were not larger than usual.","detail":"Lowest-band share 0.990, 90% Wilson [0.956, 0.998]. Event-linked size gap Delta_z = 0.00 (within-issuer permutation p = 1.000); 0 event-linked trades with z > 3 in bands of $50,001 or more.","estimate":{"label":"Lowest-band share","value":0.989796,"ci":[0.955554,0.99772],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":1,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":98,"lowest_band_share":0.989796,"lowest_band_ci":[0.955554,0.99772],"share_over_50k":0,"max_z":0,"size_gap":0,"size_gap_p":1,"event_linked":1,"event_linked_outliers":0}},{"id":"T2","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"96 different companies; the effective number of equally sized positions is 66 and trading spans 81% of maximum sector diversity.","detail":"Dollar HHI 0.015 (identified set [0.010, 0.167]); trade-count HHI 0.011 vs. 95th percentile 0.015 of 98 random draws from all congressional trades (p = 0.996). Normalized sector entropy 0.81 [0.76, 0.86]. Top three issuers (AQFH, NICE, ABCO) carry at least 1% of dollar volume.","estimate":{"label":"Effective number of issuers","value":66.40611,"ci":[6.002948,95.995591],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"count"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":98,"issuers":96,"hhi_mid":0.015059,"hhi_bounds":[0.010417,0.166585],"n_eff":66.40611,"hhi_count":0.010621,"peer_benchmark_p95":0.014786,"peer_benchmark_p":0.996,"sector_entropy":0.814834,"sector_entropy_ci":[0.761038,0.861263],"top3_share_lower":0.013441,"top3":["AQFH","NICE","ABCO"],"top3_tied_to_events":false}},{"id":"T3","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"17% of trading days were batches of three or more companies; 0% of trades look routine; 1.0% of trades came within five trading days before a large company-specific move (chance alone: 1.0%).","detail":"Batch-day share 1/6, Wilson [0.04, 0.50]; index of dispersion 88.30 (chi-square p = 0); routine share 0.00 (portfolio-routine or Cohen-Malloy-Pomorski two-year rule). Proximity share 0.010 vs. circular-shift null mean 0.010, p = 0.560.","estimate":{"label":"Batch-day share","value":0.166667,"ci":[0.038106,0.502417],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":0.56,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.94114,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":98,"trade_days":6,"batch_share_trades":0.94898,"batch_day_share":0.166667,"batch_day_ci":[0.038106,0.502417],"dispersion_index":88.301209,"dispersion_p":0,"routine_share":0,"proximity_share":0.010204,"proximity_null_mean":0.010102,"proximity_null_p95":0.031633,"proximity_p":0.56,"proximity_nonroutine":0.010204,"proximity_routine":0}},{"id":"T4","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Across 15 priced trades, purchases and sales moved 4.82% against the trade's direction relative to the market over the next month on average.","detail":"Mean signed CAR(1,21) = -0.0482; 90% KP interval [-0.1111, 0.0147]; t_BMP = -2.45, r-bar = 0.101, t_KP = -1.50, Patell Z = -2.07, Corrado Z = -2.38. Dollar-weighted identified set [-0.1650, 0.0291].","estimate":{"label":"Mean signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.048195,"ci":[-0.111065,0.014674],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.921543,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":0.982752,"robust":false,"robustness":[{"variant":"Horizon 5 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.002135},{"variant":"Horizon 63 days","reading":"open_question","value":-0.040389},{"variant":"Excluding largest batch date","reading":"not_assessed","value":null},{"variant":"Self-owned accounts only","reading":"open_question","value":-0.048195},{"variant":"Dollar-weighted (bounds)","reading":"open_question","value":0.029067}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":15,"theta":-0.048195,"ci":[-0.111065,0.014674],"p":0.921543,"t_kp":-1.495764,"rbar":0.101007,"se_cs":0.021782,"se_kp":0.035695,"t_cs":-2.212578,"t_bmp":-2.451108,"patell_z":-2.073916,"corrado_z":-2.376664,"dollar_weighted_bounds":[-0.16499,0.029067],"calendar_time":null,"calendar_alpha_ci":[null,null],"by_horizon":{"5":{"n":15,"theta":-0.002135,"ci":[-0.036845,0.032576],"p":0.474813,"t_kp":0.064319,"rbar":0.101007,"se_cs":0.012026,"se_kp":0.019707,"t_cs":-0.17752,"t_bmp":0.1054,"patell_z":0.102721,"corrado_z":1.054178},"21":{"n":15,"theta":-0.048195,"ci":[-0.111065,0.014674],"p":0.921543,"t_kp":-1.495764,"rbar":0.101007,"se_cs":0.021782,"se_kp":0.035695,"t_cs":-2.212578,"t_bmp":-2.451108,"patell_z":-2.073916,"corrado_z":-2.376664},"63":{"n":15,"theta":-0.040389,"ci":[-0.14951,0.068732],"p":0.712758,"t_kp":-0.574897,"rbar":0.101007,"se_cs":0.037807,"se_kp":0.061954,"t_cs":-1.068293,"t_bmp":-0.942083,"patell_z":-0.850163,"corrado_z":-0.77462}}}},{"id":"T5","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"Before 1 large market moves, the member's net trading pointed the right way 0 times.","detail":"Hit rate 0.00, Clopper-Pearson 90% [0.00, 0.95]; exact one-sided p = 1.000; magnitude-weighted sign-flip p = 1.000. Episodes: benchmark days beyond three rolling standard deviations with trades in the prior five trading days, plus documented episodes when supplied.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0,"ci":[0,0.95],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":1,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n_episodes":1,"hits":0,"hit_rate":0,"ci":[0,0.95],"p_exact":1,"p_magnitude":1,"episodes":[{"event_date":"2018-12-26","move":0.050525,"dir":-1,"robust":true,"n_trades":1,"post_news_trades":0,"kind":"market"}]}},{"id":"T6","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"not_computed","summary":"No documentary record of trading arrangements or absence periods was available.","detail":"No documentary record of trading arrangements or absence periods was available.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{}},{"id":"T7","reading":"open_question","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"3 of 100 trades (3.0%) were disclosed late; median lag 13 days.","detail":"Late share 0.030, Wilson [0.012, 0.073]; 90th percentile lag 13 days; longest 319 days.","estimate":{"label":"Late share","value":0.03,"ci":[0.012052,0.07271],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":100,"amendment_rows_excluded":0,"late":3,"late_from_trade":3,"excused_by_notification":0,"late_share":0.03,"late_ci":[0.012052,0.07271],"median_lag":13,"p90_lag":13,"max_lag":319,"filings":4,"late_filings":2,"late_priced":1,"timely_priced":14,"late_priced_dates":1}},{"id":"T8","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"33% of the member's mapped trading by dollar value was in industries their committees oversee, against 42% for a comparable benchmark.","detail":"Committees JCSE, SSBK, SSFI, SSJU, SSVA; jurisdiction sectors Aerospace & Defense, Broadline Retail, Distillers & Vintners, Financials, Health Care, Health Care Facilities, Health Care Services, Interactive Media & Services, Life & Health Insurance, Pharmaceuticals, Real Estate, Tobacco. Dollar share 0.333 (identified set [0.032, 0.882], bootstrap 0.060-0.747); benchmarks S&P 500 0.378, congressional peers 0.421.","estimate":{"label":"Jurisdiction excess share","value":-0.088059,"ci":[-0.361652,0.326053],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":51,"in_jurisdiction_trades":17,"share":0.333333,"share_bounds":[0.032289,0.882249],"share_ci":[0.059741,0.747446],"benchmark_sp500":0.378218,"benchmark_peers":0.421393,"excess":-0.088059,"excess_ci":[-0.361652,0.326053],"committees":["JCSE","SSBK","SSFI","SSJU","SSVA"],"jurisdiction_sectors":["Aerospace & Defense","Broadline Retail","Distillers & Vintners","Financials","Health Care","Health Care Facilities","Health Care Services","Interactive Media & Services","Life & Health Insurance","Pharmaceuticals","Real Estate","Tobacco"],"regression_error":"Error evaluating factor: TypeError: 'module' object is not callable\n    y ~ J + C(sector) + C(month)\n            ^^^^^^^^^","gamma1":null,"gamma1_ci":[null,null],"gamma1_p":null}},{"id":"T9","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"4 priced trades fell in affected industries in the 30 days before the member's committee events and 11 did not; at least 10 of each are needed to compare them.","detail":"4 priced trades fell in affected industries in the 30 days before the member's committee events and 11 did not; at least 10 of each are needed to compare them.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":4,"n_other":11,"events":3300}},{"id":"T10","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No documented scrutiny date; the estimated change point in trading activity is shown for reference.","detail":"No documented scrutiny date; the estimated change point in trading activity is shown for reference. Estimated change point 2015-02-16 (permutation p = 0.002).","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"changepoint":"2015-02-16","changepoint_LR":14.957877,"changepoint_p":0.002,"tradeday_rate_before":0.285714,"tradeday_rate_after":0.002034}},{"id":"T11","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"After adjusting for noise, the member's trades rank at the 2% percentile of 134 members (shrunk estimate -0.28% per trade over a month).","detail":"Empirical Bayes: raw -0.0482, posterior -0.0028 (sd 0.0015); Congress mean -0.0028, between-member variance 0.000000.","estimate":{"label":"Shrunk signed 21-day CAR","value":-0.002769,"ci":[-0.005272,-0.000265],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"return"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"raw":-0.048195,"posterior_mean":-0.002769,"posterior_sd":0.001522,"congress_mean":-0.002769,"tau2":0,"percentile":0.022388,"members_compared":134,"lower95":-0.005752}},{"id":"T12","reading":"open_question","evidence":"statistical","summary":"3 trades were followed within two weeks by a large company-specific move; 1 were on the profitable side.","detail":"Hit rate 0.33, Clopper-Pearson [0.02, 0.86], exact one-sided p = 0.875; threshold |AR| > 3 sigma.","estimate":{"label":"Hit rate","value":0.333333,"ci":[0.016952,0.86465],"ci_level":0.9,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":true,"screen":false,"p_value":0.875,"p_holm":1,"q_bh":1,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":3,"hits":1,"hit_rate":0.333333,"ci":[0.016952,0.86465],"priced":16,"share_followed":0.1875}},{"id":"T13","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"statistical","summary":"1% of trades had another member trading the same stock the same way within a week (chance alone: 1%).","detail":"Co-traded share 0.010; circular-shift null mean 0.008, 95th pct 0.031, p = 0.480.","estimate":{"label":"Co-traded share","value":0.010204,"ci":null,"ci_level":null,"unit":"share"},"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":true,"robustness":[{"variant":"Without M001157, the member with the most trades, in the co-trade index","value":0.010204,"reading":"does_not_fit"}],"sources":[],"stats":{"n":98,"cotraded_share":0.010204,"null_mean":0.008246,"null_p95":0.030612,"excess_p":0.48,"cotraded_share_wo_top":0.010204,"excess_p_wo_top":0.48}},{"id":"T14","reading":"not_assessed","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"1% of trades were in a spouse's or dependent's name; returns not computed for them.","detail":"1% of trades were in a spouse's or dependent's name; returns not computed for them.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"family_trades":1,"family_share":0.010309,"owner_unknown":1}},{"id":"T15","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No purchase and sale of the same stock within six months.","detail":"No purchase and sale of the same stock within six months.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"round_trips":0,"share_in_round_trips":0}},{"id":"T16","reading":"does_not_fit","evidence":"descriptive","summary":"No option trades were reported.","detail":"No option trades were reported.","estimate":null,"power_limited":false,"screen":false,"p_value":null,"p_holm":null,"q_bh":null,"robust":null,"robustness":[],"sources":[],"stats":{"option_trades":0,"option_share":0}}],"episodes":[{"title":"Market move on 2018-12-26","event_date":"2018-12-26","direction":"sell","move_pct":5.05,"trade":"1 trade(s) in the prior five trading days","verdict":"Wrong way","event":"S&P 500 (SPY) daily move","source_url":null}]}